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| *SportsComet>>>Cycling |
Who's going to win the Tour de France this year? |
Who's your favourite? My pick is Moreau. I dont think Moreau will win. I believe, like he has done in the past he reachs top form during the Dauphine. This is a very presitgous race in France so he feels compelled to win it. I just dont think he will have enough left in him to win the Tour. However I do expect him to finish in the top 10 easily. Sastre. As he proved last year, he can climb with the best of them. However I do believe that his Time-Trialing will keep him out of yellow. I think he will ride well in the moutains but i do not believe his Time-Trials will allow him to win it. Perioro (last years potential winner). Casse d'Parge (sp) has a strong team. If they send Karpets, Emfinkin, Perioro and Valverde they have 3 conteders and another solid rider in Emifkin. I do believe that Perioro will not be able to win based on Valverde being on the team. If Valverde seems unable to win look for him and Karpets to compete for the role of team leader. However I still believe that Valverde will lead that team, ensuring that perioro does not repeat last years preformance. Evans-He is my bet for 3rd. He finished 5th last year and he has been improving his Time-Triailing ability. I dont think he will win it, because of his team. Prdictor Lotto i think is just to weak of a mountains team and by having Robbie on the team they should be focus early on on getting him stage wins. Liephimer-Rode great in the Tour of CA and in the Tour of GA. He has a strong team to support him, but he will need to show through the first moutain stages that he is the best on the team. Contador could "overthrow" hom of he seems to be riding better. Look for Levi to get a Top 5, unless he has another disaterous ITT in the first week. Mike Rodgers-He is my forth place pick. He is one of the best ITT's out there (3 time world champ) and he has been improving his climbing ability, to an elite level. He rode poorly last year but expect great things from this Aussie. Valverde-My second place. I think he is the 2nd best rider in all of cycling. He was unable to beat Vino in the Vuelta last year, and i dont expect him to beat him in the tour this year. Valverde still needs to improve on his ITT if he wants to win the tour. he is still young and should win a tour in the future. Also look for Valverde to win lots of stages in which there is a sprint after a climb and the spriters have been dropped. Also if he is in a pack of 3 or more riders at the top of a climb expect him to win the sprint to the finish. He will be able to pick of valuable time bonuses with his sprints. Vino-My winner. He was dominate in the Vuelta last year. He toyed with riders during the Dauphine. He is the best rider in the pelaton right now. In last years Vuelta Kashenkin (sp, other guy from KAZ) came in 3rd. Also Kloden joined the team, winning the Terrieno-Adriattico early in the year. Vino is the best rider this year and he is on the best team. Therefore Vino wins the race in commanding fashion. Levi Leipheimer....hopefully I put my money on Vinokurov... He's such an aggressive rider, and is so fun to watch. He's also on a much stronger team than 05, with two really strong support riders... and he's fit right now... I think he's got what it takes. If Moreau wins he will be an absolute hero in France. It's been over 20 years since the French have been competitive in the Tour. My mind tells me that Vino is good for the win this year though. He looks good and is riding better than ever. Vinokourov has the skills and the team. Valverde looks strong. I think Leipheimer, Evans and Sastre are right behind those two. I like a dark horse and will be pulling for Michael Rodgers. Christophe Moreau is who I would like to see win and I think he he could at least podium. If I had to bet money I would say Vino. Although this year looks to be wide open, the top contenders have to be Leipheimer, Vinokourov, Sastre, Valverde and Pereiro. Personally, I like Vino to take it. His team is much stronger this year, and he is by far the most exciting and unpredictable rider in the top tier. But, it's his crazy unpredictability that may also lose it for him. |
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